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CO2 Rumors and Copenhagen
by Roy Bigham
November 20, 2009

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As the much-anticipated conference gets set to begin early in December in Copenhagen, what is the scuttlebutt about expectations?


While President Obama and his staff met with their counterparts in China earlier this week, there were high expectations that the United States and China would have an agreement on the table when the two major powers met with others in Copenhagen. They hoped to be able to set the tone at the meetings. Companies in the U.S. are eagerly watching the developments so they can make proper plans.

Some of the meeting planners said earlier that they did not think there would be any real meaningful goals coming from this meeting. Their hopes were that the meetings would result in agreements to set further studies and panels that would meet over the next year and agree on a timetable that would lead to establishing goals.

Obama's staff has said it is not acceptable to come out of the meetings with only a timetable for additional meetings and real limits should be discussed in Copenhagen. However, the meetings with China did not result in an agreement between the two nations. China is concerned that forcing CO2 emission limits and timetables on them would damage their economy. Some officials have quietly conceded that the rhetoric in the coming days would not stress the control of CO2 but rather focus on the idea that developing green technology will lead to more jobs around the world and that would have a net impact on climate change.

Obama's team has said they hope that the Congress in the U.S. will complete a climate bill by the time the conference kicks off so they can declare we are serious about CO2 control. Personally, I don't think that will happen.

A telling comment comes from the United Nation's Copenhagen conference website that reads, "Apart from the U.S., all industrialized countries have given targets for their greenhouse gas emission reductions." So, I guess that means the U.N. does not consider China to be an industrialized nation. While most of the world's industrial output has been negative the last year, China has been positive. While they used to enjoy double-digit industrial growth, they took steps as the world recession kicked into high gear and managed to maintain positive growth pretty much throughout this period. The Forecast for 2009 is for 10.5 percent growth. They enjoy a positive trade agreement with most countries.

So, at this point in time, I would expect that there will be a lot of finger pointing at the upcoming meetings and the agreements will be for more studies and further meetings. I hope the U.S. representatives do not allow us to promise more than we should be delivering and keep us at an economic disadvantage. I will keep watching and try to post updates about the meetings on Twitter.


Roy Bigham
roy@pollutionengineering.com
Roy D. Bigham has been the editor of Pollution Engineering since 2002. Bigham attended Eastern Michigan University where he majored in chemistry and computer science with an associates degree in mathematics. He has worked as a laboratory technician at a research laboratory, managed an electroplating operation and an associated analytical laboratory. He spent three years overseeing environmental operations of five domestic and five overseas operations for a major manufacturer in the Detroit area. He then managed a field services department for an environmental analytical laboratory before moving on to a position as an environmental engineer for a construction aggregates company.

Bigham won a design award for a waste water treatment system for a landfill in the Detroit area from the State Chamber of Commerce. He has been active in the environmental field since 1980.


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